Do you mean: ...realistic chance to restore, within the next 20 years, an otherwise-dead-but-cryonically-preserved brain in such a way as to preserve the associated person’s continued existence? or:
…realistic chance to preserve, within the next 20 years, an otherwise-dead brain in such a way that it can at some later time be restored with the associated person’s continued existence preserved?
I think the chances for the former are very, very small; the latter chance is slightly better (there could of course be some technical breakthrough), but let’s say I wouldn’t bet my life on that either...
Again, I’m no expert in these matters, and I’d be delighted to see some research that shows I’m overly pessimistic.
Of course, most cryonics advocates don’t recommend having oneself cryonically preserved as an alternative to actually living one’s life, merely as an alternative to having oneself burned to ash or buried in the dirt after one dies, both of which seem like even worse bets.
If I take “not rich” to mean unable to afford cryonic suspension without giving up other things that contribute significantly to my QALY-count, agreed. That said, that seems like a pretty low threshold for “rich.”
Do you mean:
...realistic chance to restore, within the next 20 years, an otherwise-dead-but-cryonically-preserved brain in such a way as to preserve the associated person’s continued existence?
or: …realistic chance to preserve, within the next 20 years, an otherwise-dead brain in such a way that it can at some later time be restored with the associated person’s continued existence preserved?
I think the chances for the former are very, very small; the latter chance is slightly better (there could of course be some technical breakthrough), but let’s say I wouldn’t bet my life on that either...
Again, I’m no expert in these matters, and I’d be delighted to see some research that shows I’m overly pessimistic.
Of course, most cryonics advocates don’t recommend having oneself cryonically preserved as an alternative to actually living one’s life, merely as an alternative to having oneself burned to ash or buried in the dirt after one dies, both of which seem like even worse bets.
They’re cheaper. If cryonics has a <1% chance of working and you’re not rich they likely yield more QALYs.
If I take “not rich” to mean unable to afford cryonic suspension without giving up other things that contribute significantly to my QALY-count, agreed. That said, that seems like a pretty low threshold for “rich.”