Being lucky is not being rational. However it is undoubtable that winning in a lottery is mostly a positive outcome and that it requires for you to have purchased the ticket which is a decision. Something that looks only at outcomes would applaud the decision to buy the ticket (perhaps unconditionally).
The definiton of instrumental rationality is most commonly invoked when critisiing those that employ a complex methodology of choosing correctly while the methodolody can be criticed or the agent had evidence that could have been construed to be a reason to abandon the methodology. The critism “before” “instrumental rationality would focus on making an error in applicaiton of a methodology or not having any methodology at all to make the decision. The common sentiment from these can seem like “have a methodology and apply it correctly”. And it seems clear that there are better and worse methodologies and one should try to apply the best available. And it seems “I had a methodology and applied it” doesn’t make one to be “rational” (more like “dogmatic”).
It seems one coudl have a reasonable chance of being “rational” if one had bad methodologies if one actively upswitches and upgrades their “carry on” methodology whenever they encounter new ones. It seems also that as the argument goes on the focus on metacognition increases. This can be seen also to frame the previous critisms in a new light. Its not that unmethodological decisions are “unrational” per se but doing so means likely that you missed to pick up a good methodology before that where you here could have applied to great success. So rather than “having” an methodology its more important to “pick up” methodologies with it being less essential whether you currently have or do not have a good methodology. With consistent pickups you should in the future have a great quality methodology. but rather than being the means its the effect.
Being lucky is not being rational. However it is undoubtable that winning in a lottery is mostly a positive outcome and that it requires for you to have purchased the ticket which is a decision. Something that looks only at outcomes would applaud the decision to buy the ticket (perhaps unconditionally).
The definiton of instrumental rationality is most commonly invoked when critisiing those that employ a complex methodology of choosing correctly while the methodolody can be criticed or the agent had evidence that could have been construed to be a reason to abandon the methodology. The critism “before” “instrumental rationality would focus on making an error in applicaiton of a methodology or not having any methodology at all to make the decision. The common sentiment from these can seem like “have a methodology and apply it correctly”. And it seems clear that there are better and worse methodologies and one should try to apply the best available. And it seems “I had a methodology and applied it” doesn’t make one to be “rational” (more like “dogmatic”).
It seems one coudl have a reasonable chance of being “rational” if one had bad methodologies if one actively upswitches and upgrades their “carry on” methodology whenever they encounter new ones. It seems also that as the argument goes on the focus on metacognition increases. This can be seen also to frame the previous critisms in a new light. Its not that unmethodological decisions are “unrational” per se but doing so means likely that you missed to pick up a good methodology before that where you here could have applied to great success. So rather than “having” an methodology its more important to “pick up” methodologies with it being less essential whether you currently have or do not have a good methodology. With consistent pickups you should in the future have a great quality methodology. but rather than being the means its the effect.