So there’s a post that was written, geez, about three years back, about the estimated risk of a catastrophe from an anthropic perspective. I forget most of the logic (or I’d’ve found it myself), but one of the conclusions was that from the perspective of an observer who requires a “miracle” to exist, miracles seem to occur at approximately evenly spaced intervals. Does anyone remember which post I’m talking about?
So there’s a post that was written, geez, about three years back, about the estimated risk of a catastrophe from an anthropic perspective. I forget most of the logic (or I’d’ve found it myself), but one of the conclusions was that from the perspective of an observer who requires a “miracle” to exist, miracles seem to occur at approximately evenly spaced intervals. Does anyone remember which post I’m talking about?
https://mason.gmu.edu/~rhanson/greatfilter.html http://hanson.gmu.edu/hardstep.pdf https://wiki.lesswrong.com/wiki/Great_Filter ?
There we go. No wonder I couldn’t find it, it wasn’t on LessWrong, and also a lot older than three years. Thanks!