On the issue of hurricane prediction, we have an actual example:
A few hours before the Great Storm of 1987 broke, on 15 October 1987, he said during a forecast: “Earlier on today, apparently, a woman rang the BBC and said she heard there was a hurricane on the way. Well, if you’re watching, don’t worry, there isn’t!”. The storm was the worst to hit South East England for three centuries, causing record damage and killing 19 people.
On the issue of hurricane prediction, we have an actual example: