That’s exactly my point. We don’t even know how these future technologies will look like. Gain of function research has potential major negative effects right now, so I think it’s reasonable to be cautious. AI is not currently at this point. It may potentially be in the future, but by then we will be better equipped to deal with it and assess the risk-benefit profile we are willing to put up with.
but by then we will be better equipped to deal with it
This is precisely the point with which others disagree; especially the implicit assertion that we will be sufficiently equipped to handle the problem rather than just “better”.
That’s still a theoretical problem; something we should consider but not overly update on, in my opinion. Besides, can you think of any technology people could foresee it would be developed and specialists managed to successfully plan a framework before implementation? That wasn’t the case even with nuclear bombs.
Besides, can you think of any technology people could foresee it would be developed and specialists managed to successfully plan a framework before implementation?
That’s part of the reason why Eliezer Yudkowsky thinks we’re doomed and Robin Hanson thinks that we shouldn’t try to do much now. The difference between the two is take-off speed: For EY we either solve alignment before arrival of superintelligence (which is unlikely) or be doomed, RH thinks we have time to make alignment work during arrival of superintelligence.
Well, Eliezer is the one making extraordinary claims, so I think I am justified in applying a high dose of skepticism before evidence of AI severely acting against humanity’s best interest pops up.
That’s exactly my point. We don’t even know how these future technologies will look like. Gain of function research has potential major negative effects right now, so I think it’s reasonable to be cautious. AI is not currently at this point. It may potentially be in the future, but by then we will be better equipped to deal with it and assess the risk-benefit profile we are willing to put up with.
This is precisely the point with which others disagree; especially the implicit assertion that we will be sufficiently equipped to handle the problem rather than just “better”.
That’s still a theoretical problem; something we should consider but not overly update on, in my opinion. Besides, can you think of any technology people could foresee it would be developed and specialists managed to successfully plan a framework before implementation? That wasn’t the case even with nuclear bombs.
That’s part of the reason why Eliezer Yudkowsky thinks we’re doomed and Robin Hanson thinks that we shouldn’t try to do much now. The difference between the two is take-off speed: For EY we either solve alignment before arrival of superintelligence (which is unlikely) or be doomed, RH thinks we have time to make alignment work during arrival of superintelligence.
Well, Eliezer is the one making extraordinary claims, so I think I am justified in applying a high dose of skepticism before evidence of AI severely acting against humanity’s best interest pops up.
Are you able to strong man the argument in favor of AI being an existential risk to humanity?
Well....Eliezer does think we’re doomed so doesn’t necessarily contradict his worldview