Another possibility which occurs to me is to use “elegance” for prior probability. This is a common way to refer to the subjective simplicity of a hypothesis in science, so it fits pretty well!
We might then insist that “probability” should always incorporate everything we know to the best of our ability, and “elegance” be used to refer to prior probability.
This seems really weird in certain cases, though, such as “I know my swimming led to my getting bit by a shark, but you can’t blame me; it wasn’t very elegant!”
Thanks for making some suggestions!
Another possibility which occurs to me is to use “elegance” for prior probability. This is a common way to refer to the subjective simplicity of a hypothesis in science, so it fits pretty well!
We might then insist that “probability” should always incorporate everything we know to the best of our ability, and “elegance” be used to refer to prior probability.
This seems really weird in certain cases, though, such as “I know my swimming led to my getting bit by a shark, but you can’t blame me; it wasn’t very elegant!”