First, is this question meaningful? (eliminativists or others who think the OP makes an invalid assumption should probably say ‘No’ here, if they respond at all)
[pollid:546]
If yes, what is your probability assignment? (read this as being conditioned on a yes to the above question—i.e: if there was uncertainty in your answer, don’t factor it in to your answer to this question)
[pollid:547]
And lastly, What is the probability that a randomly selected normally functioning human (Not sleeping, no neurological damage etc) is conscious?
[pollid:548]
EDIT: I’ve added a third question. As of this edit, the answers to the first two are:
This poll is meaningless without also collecting the probability that a randomly chosen biological human, or whatever else you are comparing to, has it.
The questions are good now… but the correlation isn’t actually used in the answers it shows. Which was kinda the point but I guess I should have realized was impossible with how polls work technically here.
I guess we can answer question 2 under the condition that the majority of humans falls under the definition of conscious, and we don’t require 24⁄7 consciousness from the brain emulation.
Would whole brain emulations would be conscious?
First, is this question meaningful? (eliminativists or others who think the OP makes an invalid assumption should probably say ‘No’ here, if they respond at all) [pollid:546]
If yes, what is your probability assignment? (read this as being conditioned on a yes to the above question—i.e: if there was uncertainty in your answer, don’t factor it in to your answer to this question) [pollid:547]
And lastly, What is the probability that a randomly selected normally functioning human (Not sleeping, no neurological damage etc) is conscious? [pollid:548]
EDIT: I’ve added a third question. As of this edit, the answers to the first two are:
Yes 13 (68%)
No 6 (32%)
Total 19 (100%)
Probability: Mean 0.743 Median 0.9 Total votes 15
This poll is meaningless without also collecting the probability that a randomly chosen biological human, or whatever else you are comparing to, has it.
Done.
The questions are good now… but the correlation isn’t actually used in the answers it shows. Which was kinda the point but I guess I should have realized was impossible with how polls work technically here.
I guess we can answer question 2 under the condition that the majority of humans falls under the definition of conscious, and we don’t require 24⁄7 consciousness from the brain emulation.
High enough that it’s not worth reading a nine-paragraph post just to have the proper context to answer the poll.
I would prefer that the first question ask for a probability instead of a binary yes/no.