It may make sense to apply some penalty to the logodds of “profound ideas”, to compensate for the bias.
Likewise, maybe we should assume that beautiful people are stupid to compensate for the halo effect—though that one is a bit trickier, because IQ actually is correlated with attractiveness, just not as strongly as people tend to assume.
Are you suggesting that we apply a punishment to any theory that sounds wise? Or that we apply a punishment only for those that also satisfy (a)?
It may make sense to apply some penalty to the logodds of “profound ideas”, to compensate for the bias.
Likewise, maybe we should assume that beautiful people are stupid to compensate for the halo effect—though that one is a bit trickier, because IQ actually is correlated with attractiveness, just not as strongly as people tend to assume.
Well, ideally we ignore b and focus only on a. B only matters in the context of being a more virulent meme.