So it seems you are disagreeing with most all game theorists in economics as well as most decision theorists in philosophy. Maybe perhaps they are right and you are wrong?
Maybe perhaps we are right and they are wrong?
The issue is to be decided, not by referring to perceived status or expertise, but by looking at who has the better arguments. Only when we cannot evaluate the arguments does making an educated guess based on perceived expertise become appropriate.
Again: how much do we want to bet that Eliezer won’t admit that he’s wrong in this case? Do we have someone willing to wager another 10 credibility units?
Maybe perhaps we are right and they are wrong?
The issue is to be decided, not by referring to perceived status or expertise, but by looking at who has the better arguments. Only when we cannot evaluate the arguments does making an educated guess based on perceived expertise become appropriate.
Again: how much do we want to bet that Eliezer won’t admit that he’s wrong in this case? Do we have someone willing to wager another 10 credibility units?