But you’ve perfectly forgotten about the hoodlum, so you will in fact one box. Or, does the hoodlum somehow show up and threaten you in the moment between the scanner filling the boxes and you making your decision? That seems to add an element of delay and environmental modification that I don’t think exists in the original problem, unless I’m misinterpreting.
Also, I feel like by analyzing your brain to some arbitrarily precise standard, the scanner could see 3 things: You are (or were at some point in the past) likely to think of this solution, you are/were likely to actually go through with this solution, and the hoodlum’s threat would, in fact, cause you to two-box, letting the scanner predict that you will two-box.
But you’ve perfectly forgotten about the hoodlum, so you will in fact one box. Or, does the hoodlum somehow show up and threaten you in the moment between the scanner filling the boxes and you making your decision? That seems to add an element of delay and environmental modification that I don’t think exists in the original problem, unless I’m misinterpreting.
Also, I feel like by analyzing your brain to some arbitrarily precise standard, the scanner could see 3 things: You are (or were at some point in the past) likely to think of this solution, you are/were likely to actually go through with this solution, and the hoodlum’s threat would, in fact, cause you to two-box, letting the scanner predict that you will two-box.