In fact, it is applicable in any situation where you need to make a promise to someone who has a reasonable chance of spotting if you lie (I don’t know about you but I often get caught out when I lie), and while you prefer following through on the promise to not making it, you also prefer going back on the promise to following through on it, (technically they need to have a good enough chance of spotting you, with “good enough” determined by your relative preferences).
That’s quite a generic situation, and I would estimate at least 10% probability that you encounter it at some point, although the stakes will hopefully be lower than your life.
Perhaps. Though I believe that in the vast majority of these cases my internal (and perhaps irrational) sense of fairness would cause me to keep my word anyway.
It wouldn’t have to be that exact situation.
In fact, it is applicable in any situation where you need to make a promise to someone who has a reasonable chance of spotting if you lie (I don’t know about you but I often get caught out when I lie), and while you prefer following through on the promise to not making it, you also prefer going back on the promise to following through on it, (technically they need to have a good enough chance of spotting you, with “good enough” determined by your relative preferences).
That’s quite a generic situation, and I would estimate at least 10% probability that you encounter it at some point, although the stakes will hopefully be lower than your life.
Perhaps. Though I believe that in the vast majority of these cases my internal (and perhaps irrational) sense of fairness would cause me to keep my word anyway.