2022
The United States continues to build roads and struggle to increase the quality of public transit except for rare exceptions. New York continues to struggle to implement congestion pricing.
Regional bus route redesigns continue to make major concessions to coverage compared to frequency.
2023
The United States continues to pay excessively (compared to other nations) large amounts of money for public transit projects. People continue to vote against building new dense housing in desirable locations.
People continue voting for roads. Electric and hydrogen busses continue to build a reputation for breaking down and running out of power, especially in hilly or cold regions.
The MTA makes noises about how this would be a really good time for some congestion charges to appear as income. Revenue, if any, begins to dribble in from those unlucky enough to be unable to get a “temporary” exemption.
Other agencies try to pass bond measures to dig out of the financial hole caused by (supposedly) the coronavirus. The vast majority are rejected by voters.
2024
My crystal ball fails at this point. I’m not sure how the chatbots will affect people’s preferences around land use or personal property.
2022 The United States continues to build roads and struggle to increase the quality of public transit except for rare exceptions. New York continues to struggle to implement congestion pricing.
Regional bus route redesigns continue to make major concessions to coverage compared to frequency.
2023 The United States continues to pay excessively (compared to other nations) large amounts of money for public transit projects. People continue to vote against building new dense housing in desirable locations.
People continue voting for roads. Electric and hydrogen busses continue to build a reputation for breaking down and running out of power, especially in hilly or cold regions.
The MTA makes noises about how this would be a really good time for some congestion charges to appear as income. Revenue, if any, begins to dribble in from those unlucky enough to be unable to get a “temporary” exemption.
Other agencies try to pass bond measures to dig out of the financial hole caused by (supposedly) the coronavirus. The vast majority are rejected by voters.
2024 My crystal ball fails at this point. I’m not sure how the chatbots will affect people’s preferences around land use or personal property.