I’ve read most of that now, and have subscribed to your newsletter.
Reasonable people can disagree in estimating the difficulty of AI and the visibility/pace of AI progress (is it like hunting for a single breakthrough and then FOOM? etc).
I find all of your “it feels ridiculous” arguments by analogy to existing things interesting but unpersuasive.
I’ve read most of that now, and have subscribed to your newsletter.
Reasonable people can disagree in estimating the difficulty of AI and the visibility/pace of AI progress (is it like hunting for a single breakthrough and then FOOM? etc).
I find all of your “it feels ridiculous” arguments by analogy to existing things interesting but unpersuasive.