As a concerned citizen, I would urge the generals to consider a non-obvious downside risk: A nuclear war may be much worse than you expect, if you only consider immediate first-order expected value.
Others have calculated the presented payoff matrix to imply that you have actually been instructed that nuclear war is good. It is very possible that the facts you have been presented with are incomplete, or misleading in some other way.
Consider Nuclear Winter: Policy-makers have an interest in preventing you Generals from learning about this possibility, for game-theoretic reasons. It follows that you should be open to the possibility of other downsides that have succesfully been hidden from you.
Triggering nuclear war is very bad for your karma in expectation, and you should be very skeptical of information to the contrary.
As a concerned citizen, I would urge the generals to consider a non-obvious downside risk: A nuclear war may be much worse than you expect, if you only consider immediate first-order expected value.
Others have calculated the presented payoff matrix to imply that you have actually been instructed that nuclear war is good. It is very possible that the facts you have been presented with are incomplete, or misleading in some other way.
Consider Nuclear Winter: Policy-makers have an interest in preventing you Generals from learning about this possibility, for game-theoretic reasons. It follows that you should be open to the possibility of other downsides that have succesfully been hidden from you.
Triggering nuclear war is very bad for your karma in expectation, and you should be very skeptical of information to the contrary.