Eliezers “Absence of evidence is evidence of absence” is a good one in my opinion, and relatively easy to explain the relevant maths to pretty much anyone.
The general point about Conservation of Expected Evidence is then likely to come out in the wash (and is a very useful idea).
Eliezers “Absence of evidence is evidence of absence” is a good one in my opinion, and relatively easy to explain the relevant maths to pretty much anyone.
The general point about Conservation of Expected Evidence is then likely to come out in the wash (and is a very useful idea).