That argument is correct: real-world voting only has as much effect on the odds as an Erewhonian vote if the polls are within the margin of error (roughly speaking).
Voting for a party that’s well behind in the polls only has effects via future elections. These indirect effects are still significant enough, in my opinion, to make it worth voting.
That argument is correct: real-world voting only has as much effect on the odds as an Erewhonian vote if the polls are within the margin of error (roughly speaking).
Voting for a party that’s well behind in the polls only has effects via future elections. These indirect effects are still significant enough, in my opinion, to make it worth voting.