If you think that you can delay the AGI advancement by withholding some of your ideas from this forum, you grossly overestimate both your own importance and that of this forum.
For you, posting about the fact that you decided not to post it reinforces the idea that you are important enough to have an impact with a blog post, which is more likely to reinforce the most common bias of intelligent people.
Not necessarily. We don’t know what he was going to say, so we hardly have enough evidence to say it would be unhelpful. Also, while this forum doesn’t necessarily have a lot of influence, there are many people who are mildly influential that like to peruse this site. Just the chance of inspiring such a person would likely have an impact on technological development. Not a significant one, but maybe enough to cancel out the contribution we have made by reading and considering this post.
I think more helpful people than unhelpful people come here. I remember a friend in grad school who had someone publish an algo he had discovered in the journal issue 1 before his publication, halfway across the world. I think it’s kind of like an avalanche, there is some sense to being quiet until you know enough to have a reasonable estimate of the impact of your action. As a rule though, I’d rather see ideas traded here than behind DARPA firewalls.
If you think that you can delay the AGI advancement by withholding some of your ideas from this forum, you grossly overestimate both your own importance and that of this forum.
I don’t think the impact of writing my comment would’ve been significant, but I don’t see any reason to make our situation worse on the margin.
For you, posting about the fact that you decided not to post it reinforces the idea that you are important enough to have an impact with a blog post, which is more likely to reinforce the most common bias of intelligent people.
Not necessarily. We don’t know what he was going to say, so we hardly have enough evidence to say it would be unhelpful. Also, while this forum doesn’t necessarily have a lot of influence, there are many people who are mildly influential that like to peruse this site. Just the chance of inspiring such a person would likely have an impact on technological development. Not a significant one, but maybe enough to cancel out the contribution we have made by reading and considering this post.
I think more helpful people than unhelpful people come here. I remember a friend in grad school who had someone publish an algo he had discovered in the journal issue 1 before his publication, halfway across the world. I think it’s kind of like an avalanche, there is some sense to being quiet until you know enough to have a reasonable estimate of the impact of your action. As a rule though, I’d rather see ideas traded here than behind DARPA firewalls.