I’m not sure what the details would look like, but I’m pretty sure ASI would have enough new technologies to figure something out within 10,000 years.
I feel like this is the main load-bearing claim underlying the post, but it’s barely argued for.
In some sense the sun is already “eating itself” by doing a fusion reaction, which will last for billions more years. So you’re claiming that AI could eat the sun (at least) six orders of magnitude faster, which is not obvious to me.
I don’t think my priors on that are very different from yours but the thing that would have made this post valuable for me is some object-level reason to upgrade my confidence in that.
Doesn’t have to expend the energy. It’s about reshaping the matter to machines. Computers take lots of mass-energy to constitute them, not to power them.
Things can go 6 orders of magnitude faster due to intelligence/agency, it’s not highly unlikely in general.
I agree that in theory the arguments here could be better. It might require knowing more physics than I do, and has the “how does Kasparov beat you at chess” problem.
I feel like this is the main load-bearing claim underlying the post, but it’s barely argued for.
In some sense the sun is already “eating itself” by doing a fusion reaction, which will last for billions more years. So you’re claiming that AI could eat the sun (at least) six orders of magnitude faster, which is not obvious to me.
I don’t think my priors on that are very different from yours but the thing that would have made this post valuable for me is some object-level reason to upgrade my confidence in that.
Doesn’t have to expend the energy. It’s about reshaping the matter to machines. Computers take lots of mass-energy to constitute them, not to power them.
Things can go 6 orders of magnitude faster due to intelligence/agency, it’s not highly unlikely in general.
I agree that in theory the arguments here could be better. It might require knowing more physics than I do, and has the “how does Kasparov beat you at chess” problem.