That the argument that ASI could easily (relative to the sun’s own efforts) dismantle the star completely was barely argued for, and his priors weren’t moved much and he wanted object-level reasons to believe it was feasible to rapidly dismantle the sun.
Richard said “I don’t think my priors on that are very different from yours but the thing that would have made this post valuable for me is some object-level reason to upgrade my confidence in that.” He didn’t say it’d be a longterm project, I think he just meant he didn’t change his beliefs about it due to thist post.
I agree with Richard Ngo and Simon that any dismantling of the sun is going to be a long-term project, and this matters.
What do you think Richard Ngo claimed about this?
That the argument that ASI could easily (relative to the sun’s own efforts) dismantle the star completely was barely argued for, and his priors weren’t moved much and he wanted object-level reasons to believe it was feasible to rapidly dismantle the sun.
Richard said “I don’t think my priors on that are very different from yours but the thing that would have made this post valuable for me is some object-level reason to upgrade my confidence in that.” He didn’t say it’d be a longterm project, I think he just meant he didn’t change his beliefs about it due to thist post.