What I’m confident in is that they’re more likely to be ahead than now or within a couple years. As I said, otherwise my confidence is ~35% by 2035 that China catches up (or become better), which is not huge?
My reasoning is that they’ve been better at optimizing ~everything than the US mostly because of their centralization and norms (not caring too much about human rights helps optimizing) which is why I think it’s likely that they’ll catch up.
What I’m confident in is that they’re more likely to be ahead than now or within a couple years. As I said, otherwise my confidence is ~35% by 2035 that China catches up (or become better), which is not huge?
My reasoning is that they’ve been better at optimizing ~everything than the US mostly because of their centralization and norms (not caring too much about human rights helps optimizing) which is why I think it’s likely that they’ll catch up.