The idea that EVERY governments are dumb and won’t figure out a way which is not too bad to allocate their resources into AGI seems highly unlikely to me. There seems to be many mechanisms by which it could not be the case (e.g national defense is highly involved and is a bit more competent, the strategy is designed in collaboration with some competent people from the private sector etc.).
To be more precise, I’d be surprised if no one of these 7 countries had an ambitious plan which meaningfully changed the strategic landscape post-2030:
The idea that EVERY governments are dumb and won’t figure out a way which is not too bad to allocate their resources into AGI seems highly unlikely to me. There seems to be many mechanisms by which it could not be the case (e.g national defense is highly involved and is a bit more competent, the strategy is designed in collaboration with some competent people from the private sector etc.).
To be more precise, I’d be surprised if no one of these 7 countries had an ambitious plan which meaningfully changed the strategic landscape post-2030:
US
Israel
UK
Singapore
France
China
Germany