The one-shot game still has all of the information for the money in the boxes. If you walked in and picked both boxes you wouldn’t be surprised by the result. If you walked in and picked one box you wouldn’t be surprised by the result. Picking one box nets more money, so pick one box.
I deny that 1-boxing nets more money—ceteris paribus.
Then you’re simply disagreeing with the problem statement. If you 1-box, you get $1M. If you 2-box, you get $1k. If you 2-box because you’re considering the impossible possible worlds where you get $1.001M or $0, you still get $1k.
At this point, I no longer think you’re adding anything new to the discussion.
I never said I could add anything new to the discussion.
The problem is: judging by the comments so far, nobody here can, either.
And since most experts outside this community agree on 2-boxing (ore am I wrong about this?), my original question stands.
The one-shot game still has all of the information for the money in the boxes. If you walked in and picked both boxes you wouldn’t be surprised by the result. If you walked in and picked one box you wouldn’t be surprised by the result. Picking one box nets more money, so pick one box.
I deny that 1-boxing nets more money—ceteris paribus.
Then you’re simply disagreeing with the problem statement. If you 1-box, you get $1M. If you 2-box, you get $1k. If you 2-box because you’re considering the impossible possible worlds where you get $1.001M or $0, you still get $1k.
At this point, I no longer think you’re adding anything new to the discussion.
I never said I could add anything new to the discussion. The problem is: judging by the comments so far, nobody here can, either. And since most experts outside this community agree on 2-boxing (ore am I wrong about this?), my original question stands.
Ceteris ain’t paribus. That’s the whole point.