I’m not interested, in particular, with polling but I’m interested in it insofar as it is a way of getting data that people don’t otherwise have and thus improving our predictions. That said, LW totally is the place to create a truth-seeking business and as another broke undergrad (and putting off grad school) if you, anyone else and I can come up with a profitable venture that involves employing truth seeking I definitely want in.
The obvious way to make money with this is consulting, but I’m not sure why anyone would hire a bunch of philosophy/math/CS types to do the job.
People would hire the firm if it could be demonstrated that the firm consistently produced accurate results. So initial interest might be low, but pick up over time as the track record gets longer.
Perhaps start by giving it away, or sell it to small buyers (eg. individuals).
But I’ve got to admit I don’t have experience in this area, so my suggestions are mostly naive speculation (but hopefully my speculation is of high quality!). Research into existing prediction companies is called for.
I’m not interested, in particular, with polling but I’m interested in it insofar as it is a way of getting data that people don’t otherwise have and thus improving our predictions. That said, LW totally is the place to create a truth-seeking business and as another broke undergrad (and putting off grad school) if you, anyone else and I can come up with a profitable venture that involves employing truth seeking I definitely want in.
The obvious way to make money with this is consulting, but I’m not sure why anyone would hire a bunch of philosophy/math/CS types to do the job.
People would hire the firm if it could be demonstrated that the firm consistently produced accurate results. So initial interest might be low, but pick up over time as the track record gets longer.
Right, but how do you get started? Begin by giving away the service? Work on spec? What kind of companies/organizations would hire such a firm?
Bet on propositions on InTrade. If you are good, you will make money from the exercise, as well as establish crediblility.
Perhaps start by giving it away, or sell it to small buyers (eg. individuals).
But I’ve got to admit I don’t have experience in this area, so my suggestions are mostly naive speculation (but hopefully my speculation is of high quality!). Research into existing prediction companies is called for.