It seems that they consider a soft takeoff more likely than a hard takeoff, which is still compatible with understanding the concept of an intelligence explosion.
Yeah the best argument I can think of for this course is something like: soft takeoff is more likely, and even if hard takeoff is a possibility, preparing for hard takeoff is so terrifically difficult that it doesn’t make sense to even try. So let’s optimize for the scenario where soft takeoff is what happens.
What the hell? There’s no sign that Musk and Altman have read Bostrom, or understand the concept of an intelligence explosion in that interview.
Musk has read it and has repeatedly and publically agreed with its key points.
It seems that they consider a soft takeoff more likely than a hard takeoff, which is still compatible with understanding the concept of an intelligence explosion.
Yeah the best argument I can think of for this course is something like: soft takeoff is more likely, and even if hard takeoff is a possibility, preparing for hard takeoff is so terrifically difficult that it doesn’t make sense to even try. So let’s optimize for the scenario where soft takeoff is what happens.