For the contagious part—I guess what really matters is what % of the population it could infect, and how fast that could occur. But most of the world has gone into social isolation, which at least in the US appears to already have been highly successful.
The kinsa thermometer dataset is quite interesting and worthy of it’s own post. If you look at places that didn’t do much social isolation in time, like Miami, it appears that the answers may be that it causes fevers in about the same % of the population as the flu does, and cycles through the population in perhaps half the time-frame (viruses move through cities faster in general).
For the contagious part—I guess what really matters is what % of the population it could infect, and how fast that could occur. But most of the world has gone into social isolation, which at least in the US appears to already have been highly successful.
The kinsa thermometer dataset is quite interesting and worthy of it’s own post. If you look at places that didn’t do much social isolation in time, like Miami, it appears that the answers may be that it causes fevers in about the same % of the population as the flu does, and cycles through the population in perhaps half the time-frame (viruses move through cities faster in general).