I’m pretty happy that this shows the data is consistent with extreme effectiveness in young healthy people, and this post has definitely updated me in that direction. But I’m nervous that the only actual evidence for such high effectiveness is the Israeli observational study, so personally I wouldn’t want to take any actions which depend on being very confident in extreme effectiveness.
When I see the effectiveness numbers showing globally that there’s still some chance of really bad outcomes, I adjust them downwards because they were very likely not happening to people with remotely my level of health.
I really wish more studies would report on this—seems like information they either already have or could get quite easily.
I’m pretty happy that this shows the data is consistent with extreme effectiveness in young healthy people, and this post has definitely updated me in that direction. But I’m nervous that the only actual evidence for such high effectiveness is the Israeli observational study, so personally I wouldn’t want to take any actions which depend on being very confident in extreme effectiveness.
I really wish more studies would report on this—seems like information they either already have or could get quite easily.