I am not sure which statement you stand by. The one about me being “seriously misinformed” about computer security? Let’s not go back to that—pulease!
The “adjusted” one—about the resources on the side of good being vastly insufficient to prevent a nasty artificial general intelligence from stealing vast computational resources? I think that is much too speculative for a true/false claim to be made about it.
The case against it is basically the case for good over evil. In the future, it seems reasonable that there will be much more ubiquitous government surveillance. Crimes will be trickier to pull off. Criminals will have more powerful weapons—but the government will know what colour socks they are wearing. Similarly, medicine will be better—and the life of pathogens will become harder. Positive forces look set to win, or at least dominate. Matt Ridley makes a similar case in his recent “Rational Optimism”.
Is there a correspondingly convincing case that the forces of evil will win out—and that the mafia machine intelligence—or the spyware-maker’s machine intelligence—will come out on top? That seems about as far-out to me as the SIAI contention that a bug is likely to take over the world. It seems to me that you have to seriously misunderstand evolution’s drive to build large-scale cooperative systems to entertain such ideas for very long.
I am not sure which statement you stand by. The one about me being “seriously misinformed” about computer security? Let’s not go back to that—pulease!
The “adjusted” one—about the resources on the side of good being vastly insufficient to prevent a nasty artificial general intelligence from stealing vast computational resources? I think that is much too speculative for a true/false claim to be made about it.
The case against it is basically the case for good over evil. In the future, it seems reasonable that there will be much more ubiquitous government surveillance. Crimes will be trickier to pull off. Criminals will have more powerful weapons—but the government will know what colour socks they are wearing. Similarly, medicine will be better—and the life of pathogens will become harder. Positive forces look set to win, or at least dominate. Matt Ridley makes a similar case in his recent “Rational Optimism”.
Is there a correspondingly convincing case that the forces of evil will win out—and that the mafia machine intelligence—or the spyware-maker’s machine intelligence—will come out on top? That seems about as far-out to me as the SIAI contention that a bug is likely to take over the world. It seems to me that you have to seriously misunderstand evolution’s drive to build large-scale cooperative systems to entertain such ideas for very long.