If the Predictor is accurate or omniscient, then the game is rigged and it becomes a different problem. If the Predictor is making guesses then box predicting and box selecting are both interesting to figure out.
WTF? Who creates a system in which they can offer either some help now, or significantly more later, unless they are malicious or running an experiment?
Or you live in a system nobody in particular created (capitalism) and work at a social service with limited resources with a clientele who have no background experience with adults who can be trusted. An employer telling hem “work now and I’ll pay you later” is not convincing, while a peanut butter sandwich right now is.
How about “Here’s a sandwich, if you work for me there I will give you another one at lunchtime and money at the end of the day.”
It’s the case where the immediate reward has to be so much smaller than the delayed reward but still be mutually exclusive that confuses me, not the discounting due to lack of trust.
If the Predictor is accurate or omniscient, then the game is rigged and it becomes a different problem. If the Predictor is making guesses then box predicting and box selecting are both interesting to figure out.
Or you live in a system nobody in particular created (capitalism) and work at a social service with limited resources with a clientele who have no background experience with adults who can be trusted. An employer telling hem “work now and I’ll pay you later” is not convincing, while a peanut butter sandwich right now is.
How about “Here’s a sandwich, if you work for me there I will give you another one at lunchtime and money at the end of the day.”
It’s the case where the immediate reward has to be so much smaller than the delayed reward but still be mutually exclusive that confuses me, not the discounting due to lack of trust.