Best analysis of Newcomb’s Paradox I’ve seen so far—boring. There’s nothing to see here. It all comes down to how you model the situation and what your priors are.
I find it hard to imagine a situation where I have more belief in the Predictor’s ability than the ability of the Predictor to give false evidence that I can’t figure out the trick of.
I’d two box because I see no reason to risk of losing anything. In the face of perceived trickery, I’m all the more betting on causality.
Best analysis of Newcomb’s Paradox I’ve seen so far—boring. There’s nothing to see here. It all comes down to how you model the situation and what your priors are.
I find it hard to imagine a situation where I have more belief in the Predictor’s ability than the ability of the Predictor to give false evidence that I can’t figure out the trick of.
I’d two box because I see no reason to risk of losing anything. In the face of perceived trickery, I’m all the more betting on causality.