Rationally? Only if I had sufficient evidence that I was 1-in-a-billion with regards to Omega being wrong to pull my posterior estimate to less than about 50%. In actuality? Probably if I thought there was at least a one in six chance that I could pull it off, based on gut feelings.
Rationally? Only if I had sufficient evidence that I was 1-in-a-billion with regards to Omega being wrong to pull my posterior estimate to less than about 50%. In actuality? Probably if I thought there was at least a one in six chance that I could pull it off, based on gut feelings.