I understand that precommitment can be a good thing in some situations, but I doubt that Newcomb is one of them.
If you don’t precommit to one-boxing, your simulation might not one-box, and that would be bad.
There is no way my simulation will do anything different from me if the predictor is perfect. I don’t need to precommit to one-box. I can just one-box when the time comes. There is no difference in the outcome.
To me the difference is saying that one-boxing maximizes utility vs promising to one-box. In the first case there is no decision made or even guaranteed to be made when the time comes. I might even be thinking that I’d two-box, but change my mind at the last instance.
I understand that precommitment can be a good thing in some situations, but I doubt that Newcomb is one of them.
There is no way my simulation will do anything different from me if the predictor is perfect. I don’t need to precommit to one-box. I can just one-box when the time comes. There is no difference in the outcome.
I don’t understand how that’s different from precommitting to one-box.
To me the difference is saying that one-boxing maximizes utility vs promising to one-box. In the first case there is no decision made or even guaranteed to be made when the time comes. I might even be thinking that I’d two-box, but change my mind at the last instance.