I think it’s worse than that: Karnofsky’s problem is that he has to compare moderate-mean low-variance estimates to large-mean large-variance estimates, but lukeprog’s solution is for comparing the estimate to the result in cases where the variance is equal across the board.
I think it’s worse than that: Karnofsky’s problem is that he has to compare moderate-mean low-variance estimates to large-mean large-variance estimates, but lukeprog’s solution is for comparing the estimate to the result in cases where the variance is equal across the board.