Mm, I’m not sure what the intended import of your statement is, can we be more concrete? This sounds like something I would say in explaining why I directed some of my life effort toward CFAR—along with, “Because I found that really actually in practice the number of rationalists seemed like a sharp limiting factor on the growth of x-risk efforts, if I’d picked something lofty-sounding in theory that was supposed to have a side impact I probably wouldn’t have guessed as well” and “Keeping in mind that the top people at CFAR are explicitly x-risk aware and think of that impact as part of their job”.
Something along the lines of CFAR could fit the bill. I suspect CFAR could have a bigger impact if it targeted people with stronger focus on global welfare, and/or people with greater influence, than the typical CFAR participant. But I recognize that CFAR is still in a nascent stage, so that it’s necessary to cooptimize for the development of content, and growth.
I believe that there are other interventions that would also fit the bill, which I’ll describe in later posts.
CFAR is indeed so cooptimizing and trying to maximize net impact over time; if you think that a different mix would produce a greater net impact, make the case! CFAR isn’t a side-effect project where you just have to cross your fingers and hope that sort of thing happens by coincidence while the leaders are thinking about something else, it’s explicitly aimed that way.
Mm, I’m not sure what the intended import of your statement is, can we be more concrete? This sounds like something I would say in explaining why I directed some of my life effort toward CFAR—along with, “Because I found that really actually in practice the number of rationalists seemed like a sharp limiting factor on the growth of x-risk efforts, if I’d picked something lofty-sounding in theory that was supposed to have a side impact I probably wouldn’t have guessed as well” and “Keeping in mind that the top people at CFAR are explicitly x-risk aware and think of that impact as part of their job”.
Something along the lines of CFAR could fit the bill. I suspect CFAR could have a bigger impact if it targeted people with stronger focus on global welfare, and/or people with greater influence, than the typical CFAR participant. But I recognize that CFAR is still in a nascent stage, so that it’s necessary to cooptimize for the development of content, and growth.
I believe that there are other interventions that would also fit the bill, which I’ll describe in later posts.
CFAR is indeed so cooptimizing and trying to maximize net impact over time; if you think that a different mix would produce a greater net impact, make the case! CFAR isn’t a side-effect project where you just have to cross your fingers and hope that sort of thing happens by coincidence while the leaders are thinking about something else, it’s explicitly aimed that way.