“How to invest” does not (and CAN NOT) have simple passive long- or medium-term strategies for a general scenario like this. What you should ask yourself are the following:
Does this timeline make my investing goals different from the median investor? Am I looking for a large-win-or-total-loss risk profile because I think everything is going to change radically? Are there even any investments that pay off in the dimensions I think will be important in an AGI world? Maybe the best “investment” is in experiences that will become unavailable in the future. Or in guns, training, and EMP devices for the coming wars. OK, probably not.
What skills or knowledge do I have that “the market” doesn’t, or isn’t using very effectively. How active will I be in my investments (both in working at the things you’re investing in AKA sweat equity, and in rapidly moving your capital around as you get better information)?
How do my investments actually affect what happens? Especially if you’re mixing work and investment, is it in areas you want to win?
Note: I’m mostly investing monetarily using fairly standard “just get market returns” vehicles, with an outsized real-estate portion. This implies that I assign a small-ish chance to truly radical change on a decade or two timeline. I recommend this for almost everyone who’s primarily passive in their investments (put money in, but don’t actively manage it and don’t have any particular passion, skill, or knowledge that amplifies the investment value).
“How to invest” does not (and CAN NOT) have simple passive long- or medium-term strategies for a general scenario like this. What you should ask yourself are the following:
Does this timeline make my investing goals different from the median investor? Am I looking for a large-win-or-total-loss risk profile because I think everything is going to change radically? Are there even any investments that pay off in the dimensions I think will be important in an AGI world? Maybe the best “investment” is in experiences that will become unavailable in the future. Or in guns, training, and EMP devices for the coming wars. OK, probably not.
What skills or knowledge do I have that “the market” doesn’t, or isn’t using very effectively. How active will I be in my investments (both in working at the things you’re investing in AKA sweat equity, and in rapidly moving your capital around as you get better information)?
How do my investments actually affect what happens? Especially if you’re mixing work and investment, is it in areas you want to win?
Note: I’m mostly investing monetarily using fairly standard “just get market returns” vehicles, with an outsized real-estate portion. This implies that I assign a small-ish chance to truly radical change on a decade or two timeline. I recommend this for almost everyone who’s primarily passive in their investments (put money in, but don’t actively manage it and don’t have any particular passion, skill, or knowledge that amplifies the investment value).