I do agree that most things people identify as tenets of bayesianism are useful for thinking about knowledge; but I claim that they would be just as useful, and better-justified, if we forced each one to stand or fall on its own.
So we have this machine with a track record of cranking out really useful tools for thinking and reasoning. But it would be more useful, and better-justified, if we considered each of these tools on its own merits, rather than thinking that it’s likely to be useful just because it came from the machine.
… That does seem like a very self-consistent claim for someone arguing against Bayesianism.
The very issue in question here is what this set of tools tells us about the track record of the machine. It could be uninformative because there are lots of other things that come from the machine that we are ignoring. Or it could be uninformative because they didn’t actually come from the machine, and the link between them was constructed post-hoc.
So we have this machine with a track record of cranking out really useful tools for thinking and reasoning. But it would be more useful, and better-justified, if we considered each of these tools on its own merits, rather than thinking that it’s likely to be useful just because it came from the machine.
… That does seem like a very self-consistent claim for someone arguing against Bayesianism.
The very issue in question here is what this set of tools tells us about the track record of the machine. It could be uninformative because there are lots of other things that come from the machine that we are ignoring. Or it could be uninformative because they didn’t actually come from the machine, and the link between them was constructed post-hoc.