I’m not sure I understand the motivation behind question. How much of my modern knowledge am I supposed to throw away? Note I am not in fact an atomic theorist who has the state of knowledge of atomic theory in 1942 so it’s hard to know what I’d think, but I can imagine assigning somewhere between 5% and 95% depending on how informed of an atomic theorist I actually was and what it was actually like in 1942. Maybe I could give a better answer if you clarify the motivation behind the question?
I’m asking to try to imagine yourself as an atomic theorist who has access to the state of knowledge of atomic theory in 1942. Obviously that can’t be done perfectly, but my thought was that by modeling what you would have predicted vs what actually happened, some insight can be had about how “unknown unknowns” effect projects of that scale.
I’m not sure I understand the motivation behind question. How much of my modern knowledge am I supposed to throw away? Note I am not in fact an atomic theorist who has the state of knowledge of atomic theory in 1942 so it’s hard to know what I’d think, but I can imagine assigning somewhere between 5% and 95% depending on how informed of an atomic theorist I actually was and what it was actually like in 1942. Maybe I could give a better answer if you clarify the motivation behind the question?
I’m asking to try to imagine yourself as an atomic theorist who has access to the state of knowledge of atomic theory in 1942. Obviously that can’t be done perfectly, but my thought was that by modeling what you would have predicted vs what actually happened, some insight can be had about how “unknown unknowns” effect projects of that scale.