As other people have pointed out, there’s evidence like your funeral and explanations of the actual laws of physics. Is there some reason to believe that things like that couldn’t bring your posterior probability up to a reasonable level?
I don’t see how this would sufficiently raise my PP, however. It seems like I’d get a stronger belief in a simulation argument in tandem with any increased belief in an afterlife. Rules of reason would have me siding with simulation every time, it seems,
Well, that’s kind of the issue I kept thinking about: does the situation secretly rely on a contradiction or tautology to drive the result?
As other people have pointed out, there’s evidence like your funeral and explanations of the actual laws of physics. Is there some reason to believe that things like that couldn’t bring your posterior probability up to a reasonable level?
I don’t see how this would sufficiently raise my PP, however. It seems like I’d get a stronger belief in a simulation argument in tandem with any increased belief in an afterlife. Rules of reason would have me siding with simulation every time, it seems,