Something I’ve noticed when reading articles on the web is that I occasionally run across the same beliefs, but have completely forgotten my last assigned probability—my current prior. In order to avoid this, I’m writing a program that keeps track of a database of beliefs and current priors, with automated Bayes updating. If nothing else, it’ll also make it easier to get statistics on how accurate my predictions are, and keep me honest.
Anyway, I got halfway started and realized that this might be something other people might be interested in, so: interest check!
Running an interest check for an “Auto-Bayes.”
Something I’ve noticed when reading articles on the web is that I occasionally run across the same beliefs, but have completely forgotten my last assigned probability—my current prior. In order to avoid this, I’m writing a program that keeps track of a database of beliefs and current priors, with automated Bayes updating. If nothing else, it’ll also make it easier to get statistics on how accurate my predictions are, and keep me honest.
Anyway, I got halfway started and realized that this might be something other people might be interested in, so: interest check!