I have very strong confidence that it’s a true claim, about 99% certainty, maybe 99.9% or another 0.09%, but I am sufficiently wary of unknown unknowns that I won’t claim it’s 100%, as that would make it a malign prior.
Why?
Well, I’m not a physicist, just a physician haha, but I am familiar with the implications of General Relativity, to the maximum extent possible for a layman. It seems like a very robust description of macroscopic/non-quantum phonomena.
That equation explains a great deal indeed, and I see obvious supporting evidence in my daily life, every time I send a patient over for nuclear imaging or radiotherapy in the Onco department.
I suppose most of the probability mass still comes from my (justified) confidence in physics and engineering, I can still easily imagine how it could be falsified (and hasn’t), so it’s not like I’m going off arguments from authority.
If it’s wrong, I’d bet because it’s incomplete, in the same sense that F=ma is an approximation that works very well outside relativistic regimes where you notice a measurable divergence between rest mass and total mass-energy.
I have very strong confidence that it’s a true claim, about 99% certainty, maybe 99.9% or another 0.09%, but I am sufficiently wary of unknown unknowns that I won’t claim it’s 100%, as that would make it a malign prior.
Why?
Well, I’m not a physicist, just a physician haha, but I am familiar with the implications of General Relativity, to the maximum extent possible for a layman. It seems like a very robust description of macroscopic/non-quantum phonomena.
That equation explains a great deal indeed, and I see obvious supporting evidence in my daily life, every time I send a patient over for nuclear imaging or radiotherapy in the Onco department.
I suppose most of the probability mass still comes from my (justified) confidence in physics and engineering, I can still easily imagine how it could be falsified (and hasn’t), so it’s not like I’m going off arguments from authority.
If it’s wrong, I’d bet because it’s incomplete, in the same sense that F=ma is an approximation that works very well outside relativistic regimes where you notice a measurable divergence between rest mass and total mass-energy.