What I want to know is whether you are one of those who thinks no superintelligence could talk them out in two hours, or just no human. If not with a probability of literally zero (or perhaps one for the ability of a superintelligence to talk its way out), approximately what.
Regardless, let’s do this some time this month. As far as betting is concerned, something similar to the original seems reasonable to me.
A superintelligence almost surely could, but I don’t think a human could, not if I really didn’t want to let them out. For a human, maybe .02? I can’t really quantify my feeling, but in words it’s something like “Yeah right. How could anyone possibly do this?”.
What I want to know is whether you are one of those who thinks no superintelligence could talk them out in two hours, or just no human. If not with a probability of literally zero (or perhaps one for the ability of a superintelligence to talk its way out), approximately what.
Regardless, let’s do this some time this month. As far as betting is concerned, something similar to the original seems reasonable to me.
A superintelligence almost surely could, but I don’t think a human could, not if I really didn’t want to let them out. For a human, maybe .02? I can’t really quantify my feeling, but in words it’s something like “Yeah right. How could anyone possibly do this?”.
I’d be interested in gatekeeping, as well, as long as it takes place late in the evening or on a weekend.