What’s the difference between flp and flop? Or is that a typo / abbreviation?
How do your numbers compare to the numbers in Joe Carlsmith’s report? For example, the number I’ve had in my head comes from that report, namely “a real-time human brain simulation might require something like 1e15 FLOP/s, plus or minus a few orders of magnitude”. (See here.)
I was using flp as an abbreviation. And I’ll read Joe Carlsmith’s report and then let you know what I think.
edit: Oh yeah, and one thing to keep in mind is these are estimates for if we suddenly had a shockingly big jump in amount of compute (12 orders of magnitude) but no time to develop or improve existing algorithms. So my estimates for ‘what could a reasonably well engineered algorithm, that had been tested and iterated on at scale, do?’ would be much much lower. This is stupidly wasteful upper bound.
What’s the difference between flp and flop? Or is that a typo / abbreviation?
How do your numbers compare to the numbers in Joe Carlsmith’s report? For example, the number I’ve had in my head comes from that report, namely “a real-time human brain simulation might require something like 1e15 FLOP/s, plus or minus a few orders of magnitude”. (See here.)
I was using flp as an abbreviation. And I’ll read Joe Carlsmith’s report and then let you know what I think.
edit: Oh yeah, and one thing to keep in mind is these are estimates for if we suddenly had a shockingly big jump in amount of compute (12 orders of magnitude) but no time to develop or improve existing algorithms. So my estimates for ‘what could a reasonably well engineered algorithm, that had been tested and iterated on at scale, do?’ would be much much lower. This is stupidly wasteful upper bound.