This reinforces my feeling that something is deeply wrong with the statement of the problem, or with my understanding of it. It’s true that some random survivor is p=.99 likely to be behind a blue door. It does not seem true for me, given that I survive.
Clearly the bets would not be rational.
This reinforces my feeling that something is deeply wrong with the statement of the problem, or with my understanding of it. It’s true that some random survivor is p=.99 likely to be behind a blue door. It does not seem true for me, given that I survive.