I would say generally that for any treatment that hasn’t been tested the probability that it doesn’t work is quite low because of the wide number of ways to be wrong vs ways to be right. Your probability estimate will probably rise (though how much i’m not sure) if it accords with basic science knowledge.
I would say generally that for any treatment that hasn’t been tested the probability that it doesn’t work is quite low because of the wide number of ways to be wrong vs ways to be right. Your probability estimate will probably rise (though how much i’m not sure) if it accords with basic science knowledge.