Hmm. I think there are two dimensions to the advice (what is a reasonable distribution of timelines to have, vs what should I actually do). It’s perfectly fine to have some humility about one while still giving opinions on the other. “If you believe Y, then it’s reasonable to do X” can be a useful piece of advice. I’d normally mention that I don’t believe Y, but for a lot of conversations, we’ve already had that conversation, and it’s not helpful to repeat it.
Hmm. I think there are two dimensions to the advice (what is a reasonable distribution of timelines to have, vs what should I actually do). It’s perfectly fine to have some humility about one while still giving opinions on the other. “If you believe Y, then it’s reasonable to do X” can be a useful piece of advice. I’d normally mention that I don’t believe Y, but for a lot of conversations, we’ve already had that conversation, and it’s not helpful to repeat it.