Not a problem, provided you turn out to be right and the “collective intelligences” wrong more often than not. Do you?
I think I do. My calibration is pretty good so far, and that’s on many collectively sourced predictions like Intrade.
“If you are so smart, why aren’t you rich?”
Akrasia and lack of capital.
Not a problem, provided you turn out to be right and the “collective intelligences” wrong more often than not. Do you?
I think I do. My calibration is pretty good so far, and that’s on many collectively sourced predictions like Intrade.
“If you are so smart, why aren’t you rich?”
Akrasia and lack of capital.