The conjunction fallacy really says nothing about prior probabilities. The conjunction rule is a theorem in probability. Occam’s razor is a working rule for assigning prior probabilities to hypotheses.
These are two distinct, legitimate uses of the term “Occam’s Razor”. The conjunction rule is the everyday sense; what you’re talking about is a deeper, philosophical sense.
Well I agree. In our everyday lives, Occam tells us to chose the simplest hypotheses. Conjunction rule tells us to keep any particular hypothesis we have as simple as possible.
Also, maybe we should apply conjunction rule first to our candidate hypotheses and then only Occam to chose the simplest among them. (of course, Occam by itself already picks out the simplest hypotheses, but i’m talking about a working procedure here)
These are two distinct, legitimate uses of the term “Occam’s Razor”. The conjunction rule is the everyday sense; what you’re talking about is a deeper, philosophical sense.
Well I agree. In our everyday lives, Occam tells us to chose the simplest hypotheses. Conjunction rule tells us to keep any particular hypothesis we have as simple as possible.
Also, maybe we should apply conjunction rule first to our candidate hypotheses and then only Occam to chose the simplest among them. (of course, Occam by itself already picks out the simplest hypotheses, but i’m talking about a working procedure here)