I don’t have the impression that Taleb goes to any lengths to discourage people from thinking that he made more impressive predictions than he actually did :-).
He doesn’t do so explicitly but he does so implicitly by saying that certain predictions can’t be made reliably.
I don’t have the impression that Taleb goes to any lengths to discourage people from thinking that he made more impressive predictions than he actually did :-).
He doesn’t do so explicitly but he does so implicitly by saying that certain predictions can’t be made reliably.