I imagine that additional supply, as is advocated in the linked post, might be worth trying to create for some people anyways. (Certainly some variance, generally, in regard to the tactics we use and strategies we pursue, individually, and in smaller groups, seems useful and worth encouraging.)
Yeah the only way I can see that prices now would rise in anticipation of months-away shortages would be someone buying loads of nonperishable food and putting it into a warehouse for storage. No one would do that at scale; they would expect to be vilified and their property confiscated.
Maybe we could look at the price of some financial instrument to learn the market’s belief about future food prices, but I wouldn’t know the details.
I’d imagine increased costs first squeeze ‘existing’ profits before prices rise so maybe publicly owned grocery companies would be a good enough (indirect) proxy.
I dug into this here and found at least a quarter of US produce harvesting is mechanized, which makes me less nervous.
I also feel (somewhat) less nervous.
I imagine that additional supply, as is advocated in the linked post, might be worth trying to create for some people anyways. (Certainly some variance, generally, in regard to the tactics we use and strategies we pursue, individually, and in smaller groups, seems useful and worth encouraging.)
An online delivery grocery store in my area isn’t listing what I’d expect ‘impending extreme shortages expected’ prices to be.
I am worried that prices generally are NOT efficient tho because of, e.g. ant-price-gouging laws and widespread anti-market bias and prejudice.
Yeah the only way I can see that prices now would rise in anticipation of months-away shortages would be someone buying loads of nonperishable food and putting it into a warehouse for storage. No one would do that at scale; they would expect to be vilified and their property confiscated.
Maybe we could look at the price of some financial instrument to learn the market’s belief about future food prices, but I wouldn’t know the details.
I’d imagine increased costs first squeeze ‘existing’ profits before prices rise so maybe publicly owned grocery companies would be a good enough (indirect) proxy.