Well, it’s one thing to explore the possibility space and completely the other one to pinpoint where you are in it. Many people will confidently say they are at X or at Y, but all that they do is propose some idea and cling to it irrationally. In aggregate, in hindsight there will be people who bonded to the right idea, quite possibly. But it’s all mix Gettier cases and true negative cases.
And very often it’s not even “incorrect” it’s “neither correct nor incorrect”. Often there is frame of reference shift such that all the questions posed before it turn out to be completely meaningless. Like “what speed?”, you need more context as we know now.
And then science pinpoints where you are by actually digging into the subject matter. It’s a kind of sad state of “diverse hypothesis generation” when it’s a lot easier just go blind into it.
Well, it’s one thing to explore the possibility space and completely the other one to pinpoint where you are in it. Many people will confidently say they are at X or at Y, but all that they do is propose some idea and cling to it irrationally. In aggregate, in hindsight there will be people who bonded to the right idea, quite possibly. But it’s all mix Gettier cases and true negative cases.
And very often it’s not even “incorrect” it’s “neither correct nor incorrect”. Often there is frame of reference shift such that all the questions posed before it turn out to be completely meaningless. Like “what speed?”, you need more context as we know now.
And then science pinpoints where you are by actually digging into the subject matter. It’s a kind of sad state of “diverse hypothesis generation” when it’s a lot easier just go blind into it.