Also, why is my opinion anti-correlated with Karma?
Maybe, it is a selection effect where I post stuff that is either good content or a good explanation.
Or maybe important insights have a larger inferential gap.
Or maybe I like new insights and the old insights are better because they survived across time, but they are old to me so I don’t find them as exciting.
I just noticed that the first two posts were curated, and the second two were not, so maybe the only anti-correlation is between me and the Sunshine Regiment, but IIRC, most of the karma was pre-curration, and I posted Robustness to Scale and No Catastrophes at about the same time and was surprised to see a gap in the karma. (I would have predicted the other direction.)
I posted Robustness to Scale and No Catastrophes at about the same time and was surprised to see a gap in the karma
FWIW, I was someone who upvoted Robustness to Scale (and Sources of Intuitions, and Knowledge is Freedom), but did not upvote No Catastrophes.
I think the main reason was that I was skeptical of the advice given in No Catastrophes. People often talk about timelines in vague ways, and I agree that it’s often useful to get more specific. But I didn’t feel compelled by the case made in No Catastrophes for its preferred version of the question. Neither that one should always substitute a more precise question for the original, nor that if one wants to ask a more precise question, then this is the question to ask.
(Admittedly I didn’t think about it very long, and I wouldn’t be too surprised if further reflection caused me to change my mind, but at the time I just didn’t feel compelled to endorse with an upvote.)
Robustness (along with the other posts) does not give advice, but rather stakes out conceptual ground. That’s easier to endorse.
Also, why is my opinion anti-correlated with Karma?
Maybe, it is a selection effect where I post stuff that is either good content or a good explanation.
Or maybe important insights have a larger inferential gap.
Or maybe I like new insights and the old insights are better because they survived across time, but they are old to me so I don’t find them as exciting.
Or maybe it is noise.
I just noticed that the first two posts were curated, and the second two were not, so maybe the only anti-correlation is between me and the Sunshine Regiment, but IIRC, most of the karma was pre-curration, and I posted Robustness to Scale and No Catastrophes at about the same time and was surprised to see a gap in the karma. (I would have predicted the other direction.)
FWIW, I was someone who upvoted Robustness to Scale (and Sources of Intuitions, and Knowledge is Freedom), but did not upvote No Catastrophes.
I think the main reason was that I was skeptical of the advice given in No Catastrophes. People often talk about timelines in vague ways, and I agree that it’s often useful to get more specific. But I didn’t feel compelled by the case made in No Catastrophes for its preferred version of the question. Neither that one should always substitute a more precise question for the original, nor that if one wants to ask a more precise question, then this is the question to ask.
(Admittedly I didn’t think about it very long, and I wouldn’t be too surprised if further reflection caused me to change my mind, but at the time I just didn’t feel compelled to endorse with an upvote.)
Robustness (along with the other posts) does not give advice, but rather stakes out conceptual ground. That’s easier to endorse.